Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 38.972204 46.106362 53.956630 63.205827 73.773530 85.438704 99.256210
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 29.731254 39.506737 51.319191 66.508986 85.374487 107.876192 136.569999
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 24.245740 35.258684 49.552865 69.169544 95.051859 127.661387 171.423106
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 19.836315 31.214582 46.922710 69.697669 101.289625 142.905609 201.082582
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 15.867863 26.908122 43.055192 67.678251 103.411964 152.383603 223.339010
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 13.415916 24.332512 41.139071 67.923194 108.333468 165.605421 251.117666
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 11.651598 22.490626 39.980684 68.985640 114.287071 180.416131 281.770385
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 9.103861 18.865878 35.474809 64.262478 110.960707 181.344010 292.287593
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 8.150703 17.870862 35.111330 66.033881 117.670414 197.403683 325.758961
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.974207 16.241872 33.419804 65.351657 120.294627 207.262144 350.289402
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.650594 16.224615 34.576770 69.623890 131.291122 230.710747 396.810271
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.407041 14.086081 31.523694 66.089947 128.802776 232.460542 409.356824
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.894140 13.531218 31.631033 68.713030 137.816637 254.533107 457.387840
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.489507 13.163895 32.106065 72.170271 148.768911 280.824779 514.327687
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.076745 12.683972 32.268184 75.013237 158.809103 306.173816 571.107903
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.544573 11.774354 31.358869 75.578276 164.612283 324.520880 617.074444
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.914729 10.435700 29.264150 73.414109 164.968007 333.233784 646.978183
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.528978 9.675319 28.375529 73.676625 170.009181 350.540343 692.569263
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.242661 9.132642 27.919807 74.815220 176.848098 371.460608 745.497954
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.721444 7.676161 24.899855 69.752122 170.516175 367.464453 753.556940
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.560846 7.382982 24.871985 71.651448 178.874341 391.654263 813.913777
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.327724 6.751746 23.808513 70.920019 181.508474 404.938052 854.746375
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.290563 6.857053 24.848945 75.499130 196.075432 442.257127 942.041092